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Improved model of solar resource variability based on regional aggregation and climate zones

Hope Smith | Jun 4, 2018

This paper provides the results of using an alternative method to calculate annual insolation probability of exceedance statistics (PXX), which are critical measurements for assessing long-term energy yield and valuation of PV systems. This method aggregates...

EPIC Solar Forecasting Task 3 Final Report: Grid-Connected and Embedded PV Fleet Forecasting Accuracy

Heather Van SchoiackHeather Van Schoiack | Apr 11, 2018

This report, prepared with an Electric Program Investment Charge (EPIC) fund, describes new methods for improving production forecasts of behind-the-meter and grid-connected PV systems by incorporating real-world effects of PV module age and soiling. The report also...

EPIC Solar Forecasting Task 2 Final Report: Data Forecasting Accuracy

Heather Van SchoiackHeather Van Schoiack | Apr 11, 2018

This report, prepared with an Electric Program Investment Charge (EPIC) fund, describes the results of research to determine whether real-time data could be used to supplement forecasts generated using PV system hardware specifications and forecasted...

Advancing the Science of Behind-the-Meter PV Forecasting

Heather Van SchoiackHeather Van Schoiack | Feb 7, 2018

This presentation discusses how probabilistic forecasting enables electric utilities and grid operators to reduce their operational costs by risk adjusting expected solar production. This presentation was given at the 2018 EPIC Symposium on February 7, 2018. Download...

Detecting Calibration Drift at Ground Truth Stations: A Demonstration of Satellite Irradiance Models’ Accuracy

Shannon Wilcox | Jul 15, 2017

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